Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.016378 0.020510 0.025961 0.033926 0.045734 0.063447 0.093977
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.011535 0.015852 0.022416 0.033891 0.055466 0.100024 0.223779
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.009363 0.013650 0.020807 0.035034 0.067364 0.157286 0.603938
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.007891 0.011984 0.019289 0.035287 0.077783 0.234657 1.928097
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006648 0.010362 0.017285 0.033471 0.081597 0.305792 6.752054
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005822 0.009287 0.016001 0.032689 0.088136 0.422760 88.486530
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005412 0.008881 0.015937 0.034912 0.108377 0.783978 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005168 0.008735 0.016376 0.038797 0.143201 2.002474 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004945 0.008584 0.016756 0.042834 0.190317 7.607709 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004574 0.008063 0.016118 0.043157 0.216856 26.768038 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004261 0.007618 0.015570 0.043582 0.248333 302.640260 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003901 0.007023 0.014515 0.041563 0.253456 20042.598134 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003529 0.006403 0.013399 0.039367 0.259980 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003265 0.005997 0.012799 0.039196 0.296427 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003082 0.005746 0.012567 0.040589 0.370673 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002893 0.005453 0.012150 0.040900 0.438334 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002665 0.005044 0.011316 0.038676 0.441067 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002493 0.004748 0.010768 0.037721 0.477647 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002416 0.004672 0.010870 0.040440 0.677327 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002377 0.004682 0.011248 0.045226 1.159361 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002334 0.004676 0.011577 0.050241 2.158638 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002228 0.004496 0.011278 0.050645 2.867141 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002132 0.004334 0.011013 0.051175 3.965255 NaN NaN